Last week I went to an astronaut's speech on the future of commercial space flight. The astronaut, Steve Smith, worked on the Hubble Space Telescope while it was in orbit. I got to meet and talk with him personally for a few minutes, and loved every second of it.

He had a lot of interesting anecdotes, but the one that I'm still thinking about is this: the space program rejected him as an astronaut candidate four times before being accepting him. You can only apply once every two years, so he was living in a state of space-program rejection for eight years before being accepted. I wish I had had the foresight to ask him whether this was normal for astronaut candidates, or if he was an exception. Either way, the fact that he keep reaching for his dream, even after eight years of rejection, is amazing and inspiring to me.

## 2009-11-07

### Chip

## 2009-11-04

### Bleg: Books

These are the books I'm thinking of buying for myself, with the up-coming holiday season discounts:

Non-Fiction:

Non-Fiction:

- The Strangest Man: The Hidden Life of Paul Dirac, Mystic of the Atom
- Violence: A Micro-sociological Theory
- Everyday Practice of Science: Where Intuition and Passion Meet Objectivity and Logic
- American Homicide
- Codes of the Underworld: How Criminals Communicate
- The Mating Mind: How Sexual Choice Shaped the Evolution of Human Nature
- Spent: Sex, Evolution, and Consumer Behavior
- Wild Justice: The Moral Lives of Animals
- The End of Overeating: Taking Control of the Insatiable American Appetite
- The Addict: One Patient, One Doctor, One Year
- The Science of Fear: Why We Fear the Things We Shouldn't--and Put Ourselves in Greater Danger
- The Marriage-Go-Round: The State of Marriage and the Family in America Today
- The Invisible Hook: The Hidden Economics of Pirates
- The Overflowing Brain: Information Overload and the Limits of Working Memory

## 2009-11-02

### Randomizing a Coin Toss

Way to report only the problem, Freakonomics blog:

Mathematically, if the probability of landing heads is P, then:

Since the probability of HT is the same as TH, taking the first element removes the bias.

Mad props to von Neumann for inventing this trick (publication was "Various techniques used in connection with random digits"), along with fundamental portions of the theory for quantum mechanics, cryptography, and game theory. They don't make mathematicians like they used to.

But it may be that the the random coin toss isn’t so random. A 2007 study found that a vigorously flipped coin is likely to land on the same side it started on at least 51 percent of the time, possibly more depending on the person doing the flipping.Say you have a coin with a bias that doesn't change from flip to flip. You can remove the bias by flipping the coin twice, and taking the first result if the second result differs from the first or repeating if it lands the same way both times.

Mathematically, if the probability of landing heads is P, then:

- P^2 = Prob[HH]
- P*(1-P) = Prob[HT]
- (1-P)*P = Prob[TH]
- (1-P)^2 = Prob[TT]

Since the probability of HT is the same as TH, taking the first element removes the bias.

Mad props to von Neumann for inventing this trick (publication was "Various techniques used in connection with random digits"), along with fundamental portions of the theory for quantum mechanics, cryptography, and game theory. They don't make mathematicians like they used to.

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